Saturday, August 26, 2006

In 2010 the desktop computer will be dead

"In a bold prediction, he stated: "In 2010 the desktop computer will be dead, and laptops will be on death row."

- according to Handheld Learning MD Graham Brown-Martin.
http://www.gamesindustry.biz/content_page.php?aid=19268
 
I'm not an industry specialist and I've done no research to backup any of my 'thoughts' below:
 
My first thoughts:
- isn't that what they said about LPs and VCRs?
- online storage. does this mean we will get cheap wired and wireless broadband  so we don't have to access our data at 56kbps (do i feel game enough to use the word 'free')
- pay for online storage.. pay for highspeed internet connection, pay for the PC to use (oops sorry.. I mean server or consumer electronic), pay for electricity..
 
Just a few more thoughts:
- online storage.. do I trust these people to hold my data and hold my data securely?
- online vs local storage - NO ONE can hack my PC (woops there I go again, I mean server/Con.Elec) when it's not connected to the net.
- online storage - backed up and never lose your data!. err my internet connection is not working because <insert various valid reasons> and I can't get to my data. ding!
- and like the current PC gaming industry is going to move to console anytime soon.
- what's Intels current CPU roadmap for 2010?
 
Some localised thoughts:
- wonder if Telstra will roll out a fully enabled ADSL2+ within the next 4 years?
- oops have to step back abit.. will Telstra be able to provide any kind of broadband to the countryside?.
 
More thoughts:
- 25Gb free space.. sounds good!. pity I never got over 10kbps on downloads (that's just the page load, I couldn't even get 'upload' to work .. yet).
Try it yourself, you might have better luck.
http://www.mediamax.com/Brands/MediaMax/home/home.aspx
 
Brown-Martin may be right but then again he would say what he said.. he is the MD for "Handheld Learning" which roughly translate to "we work with consumer electronics".
 
 
Just in case the page "is dead or on deathrow" (in the next 4 years).. here's the article in full:

Home PCs and laptops are on "death row" - Brown-Martin
 
Matt Martin 13:25 24/08/2006
 
'Ubiquitous data' the future of digital content, says leading mobile consultant
 
In less than four years, home PCs and laptops will be redundant as more users and manufacturers migrate to online storage, according to Handheld Learning MD Graham Brown-Martin.
 
In a bold prediction, he stated: "In 2010 the desktop computer will be dead, and laptops will be on death row.
 
"I've spent quite a lot of time talking to computer manufacturers and they are seeing more value in selling servers that connect to consumer electronic devices such as the Sony PSP and Nintendo DS. They see this as the food chain, rather than lots of desks with computers on them," said Brown-Martin, during the Edinburgh Interactive Entertainment Festival earlier this week.
 
"We're seeing a situation with lots of devices - consoles, video cameras, mobile computers, phones, pocket PCs - that are potentially all going to access their content from a data warehouse or server," he continued.
 
"Today you can get 25 gigabytes of online storage for free. We're seeing an emergence of companies saying, 'Pay us a little bit of money per month and dump all your stuff on our online hard-disks, we'll back it up and we guarantee you that you'll never lose your data'."
 
"Mobility isn't just about little devices – it's about the user being mobile and having all their stuff in one location, in cyberspace, on a hard-disk farm," Brown-Martin went on.
 
"Where ever you go - assuming that media is scalable and interoperable - you can access material, anywhere and any place – that's where we are headed."

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